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Thursday, October 7, 2010

ms-03 mba assignment july dec 2010 Question1

1.          “The economic environment of business exercises a strong influence on the non-economic environment.”  Discuss this statement with the help of examples.

Solution:

Economic Environment
The economic environment is an amalgamation of various economic factors, such as total employment, productivity, income, wealth, inflation and interest rates. These factors influence the spending patterns of individuals and firms.
Components of the Economic Environment
The economic environment comprises of:
  Income and wealth: Income in an economy is measured by GDP, GNP and per capita income. High values of these factors show a progressive economic environment.
  Employment levels: High employment represents a positive picture of the economy. However, there are many forms of unemployment, including partial employment and disguised unemployment.
  Productivity: This is the output generated from a given amount of inputs. High levels of productivity support the economic environment.

Classifications of the Economic Environment

The economic environment can be classified into:
·                         Microeconomic environment: It includes the economic environment of a particular industry, firm or household and is primarily concerned with price determination of individual factors. The main consideration from a microeconomic perspective is the efficient allocation of resources. This is necessary to maximize total output.
·                         Macroeconomic environment: It includes all the economic factors in totality. The main consideration here is the determination of the levels of income and employment in the economy.
Over the course of the twentieth century, the focus has shifted from cities and countries to the global economy being the chief economic unit.

Factors Affecting the Economic Environment

The economic environment of a nation as well as the world is impacted by:
·                         Inflation and deflation: Inflationary and deflationary pressures alter the purchasing power of money. This has a direct impact on consumer spending, business investment, employment rates, government programs and tax policies.
·                         Interest rates: Interest rates determine the cost of borrowing and the flow of money towards businesses.
·                         Exchange rates: This impacts the price of imports, the profits made by exporters and investors and employment levels (also through the impact on the tourism industry).
·                         Monetary and fiscal policy: This helps in attaining full employment, price stability and economic growth.
The economic environment is also influenced by various political, social and technological factors. These include a change in government and the development of new technology and business tools.

The global economy

The development of the global economy can be traced back many hundreds of years when traders from the east and west came together to exchange goods. However, the growth of the modern global economy is marked by a number of features as follows:
The legacy of mercantilism 1500-1750
The prevalent wisdom was one of nationalism, that is, that one nation prospered at the expense of another. Nations like the UK, Netherlands and later France and Germany, with powerful navies which ruled the waves in the West, and the traders of the East, dominated that area. Over time, nationalism gave way to bullionism, where gold and silver, rather than other raw materials, became the basis of wealth. Still later, domination took another form, where countries were believed to be powerful if they had a favourable balance of trade - an excess of exports over imports. Mercantilism died with the development of the United Nations (UN) and the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), along with Adam Smith's tome on the "Wealth of Nations" which advocated market forces as the principal driving force to development and wealth.
World trade
Economic progress is linked to world trade and those who preach trade restrictions are denying this fact. Countries like the old communist bloc (Russia, East Germany, etc.) have not developed as fast as those with more outward orientation. The same can be said of African nations, where the inability to industrialise and export in volume has locked them into, generally, primary product producers. Economic Structural Adjustment Programmes (ESAP) are supposed to remedy this situation by giveng "command economies" a market oriented focus.
Another argument concerns whether marketing has relevance to the process of economic development. Less developed countries (LDCs) have traditionally focused on production and domestic income generation. Also, marketing addresses itself to needs and wants and it could be argued that where LDCs' productive capabilities are far less than unsatisfied needs and wants, then marketing is superfluous. However, adopting "marketing" could lead to the more efficient and effective use of productive and marketing resources and it may be able to focus on current needs and find better solutions. For example, techniques developed in the West for optimising transport resources could well be transferred to effect. Similarly, adopting new methods of marketing may give better results. A good example is the Cold Storage Company of Zimbabwe (CSC). By changing from the current system of marketing cattle (the CSC takes in cattle, at fixed prices and slaughters) to an auction system by description, all actors in the system could benefit.
Decisions in product, price, communications and merchandising can stimulate economic development. Changing from fixed price systems to market based pricing could lead to the faster achievement of development objectives (for example "higher incomes"). In current drought conditions in Africa, governments could well benefit from advertising other forms of nutritious food, for example, fish, rather than let the populace be left uninformed and disgruntled about the lack of maize.
Composition of world trade
Agriculture, minerals, fuels and manufactured goods figure most in world trade. However shifts are occurring
Shift in commodity trade - % of world trade
Product
1980
1985%
1988%
Agriculture
22.5
1
14
Minerals
14
-5
14
Fuel
41
-3.5
1
Manufactures
17
4.5
1
Interestingly enough, those economies which have divested themselves of agriculture (or made it more efficient) and invested in manufacturing are those which have shown spectacular growth. Table 2.2 compares Zimbabwe with Thailand6.
Patterns of trade
Most industrialised nations trade with each other. This had led to their continued domination. particularly the USA, Western Europe and Japan which between them have 66% of world GNP and trade. In 1985 industrialised trade to other industrialised countries accounted for 47% of trade, next came developing countries to industrialised (15%), and finally industrialised to developing countries (13%). Political influences can also be seen between trading partners, for example Zimbabwe's trade with China. Marketers need to identify trading patterns between nations and product trading patterns. East-West trade and West to the former communist bloc is likely to grow at the expense of North-South trade.



Structure of production

Distribution of GDP %
Country
GDP $ m
Agriculture
Industry
Manufacturing
Services
1970
1992
1970
1992
1970
1992
1970
1992
1970
1992
Zimbabwe
1415
5350
15
22
36
35
21
30
49
43
Thailand
7087
110337
26
12
25
39
16
28
49
49
This pattern is repeated throughout Africa and Asia in general.
Comparative costs - comparative advantage
As discussed in chapter one, price has been called the immediate basis for international trade - cheaper prices based on different cost structures, especially labour. Countries trade because they produce and export goods in which they enjoy a greater comparative advantage and import goods in which they have a least comparative advantage. A further refinement of this is the international product cycle discussed fully in chapter one.
Balance of payments
This is the measure of all economic transactions between one nation and another. The balance of payments is made up of the current account, showing trade in goods and services; and the capital account, which shows financial transactions. In 1989, after official transfers, the USA had a US$ 109,242 million deficit on its current account, Japan had a $ 131,400 million surplus, Tanzania a $ 778,5 million deficit and Zimbabwe a $ 2,783 million deficit.
The balance of payments account helps marketers select the location of supply for foreign markets and the selection of markets. The capital account may show the nations which have control restrictions and hence be difficult to deal with. In this regard, African nations are generally disadvantaged.
Government policy
This refers to the government measures and regulations which have a bearing on trade - tariffs, quotas, exchange controls and invisible tariffs. These can cause formidable barriers to marketers and will be dealt with at length later.
World Institutions
Institutions like GATT and the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) have been of help to countries in their development. GATT had over 120 members and associated and accounted for 80% of world trade. Its intention was to create a general system of preferences and negotiate tariffs for members' products on a nondiscriminant basis and provide a forum for consultation. The Kennedy Round of the 1960s was superseded by the Tokyo round of the 1970s and that by the current Uruguay round signed in 1994.
UNCTAD furthers the development of emerging nations. It seeks to improve the prices of primary goods exports through commodity agreements. It also established a tariff preference system favouring developing nations.
Regionalism
Regionalism is a major and important trade development. Some regional groupings have either market (EU) or command (China) or mixed economies (former communist countries and The Preferential Trade Area (PTA) and The Southern African Development Community (SADC). With these developments, free trade zones have occurred (all internal barriers abolished) economic unions (the EU), export pricing zones (Mauritius) and other schemes. The major regional economic organisations are: Acuerdo de Cartegna (Andean Group), Association of South East Nations (ASEAN), Asian Pacific Rim countries (APC), Caribbean Community and Common Market (CARICOM), Central American Common Market (Mercado Comùn Centro Americano), Council of Arab Economic Unity, Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), the European Union (EU), Latin American Integration Association, Organisation Commune Africane et Mauricienne, Preferential Trade Area (PTA) and the Southern African Development Conference (SADC). A principal collapse has been the Council for Economic Assistance (COMECON) with the disappearance of the communist bloc in Eastern Europe. Of these blocs, the EU (reporting 33% of world trade) and EFTA are very important. To counteract the growing power of the EU, the USA and Canada have entered into an agreement with Mexico as a willing partner and created the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).
These blocs are of various form, power, influence and success. ASEAN is a collaboration of industry and agriculture, PTA in tariffs. SADC and PTA have had historically little impact but are now beginning to grow in importance in view of the normalisation of South Africa. The EU, North American Union and the Pacific Rim Union will pose the greatest power blocs in future years. Many developing countries have entered into trading blocks as a reaction against loss of developed country markets or as a base to build economic integration and markets.
The development of trading blocs can bring headaches and advantages to trade. It is worth comparing the European Union, a relatively well developed bloc, with SADC and the PTA which are well developed. SADC and PTA are described in a little detail in appendix one and two of this chapter.
The international financial system
Global financing operations based on the gold standard gave rise to instability, so Bretton Woods, post World War II, saw the nascence of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank.
The IMF deals with the International Monetary System. Involved countries joined IMF to establish a par value for other countries in terms of the US dollar and maintain it with +/- one percent of that value. The system fell down because large corporations were holding more funds than banks and so a "float" set in. IMF began to fade somewhat. However it still lends, on a short term basis, to countries with payment problems to help them continue trading.
The World Bank, or International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) deals with international capital. It provides long term capital to aid economic development. Currently it has about US$ 22 billion annually for this operation. The role of the World Bank has often been criticised especially on its conditionalities for loans to Africa in funding structural adjustment and trade liberalisation programmes. However many developing countries require institutional funding to help them with trade and balance payment problems.
Other major lenders include the EU and bilateral donors and agencies who have provided money for developmental projects. A principal donor is the United States Agency for International Development (USAID).
The nature of economy
More than money makes up an economy's economic environment. Natural resources -raw materials now and in the future are important. If synthetic gold or tobacco were developed or, in the case of the latter, became unfashionable, Zimbabwe's economy would be ruined.
Topography may produce two, three or more submarkets in a country. Zambia, for example, has "rural" and "urban" areas with different needs and wants.
Extremes of climate - like the Southern African drought in 1992 can devastate economies and derail any economic development plans and exports. Simply, products are not available to export, because they are being consumed by the domestic economy.
The nature of economic activity
Economic activity is often correlated to the type of economic activity. Various methods have been derived to classify economies. These are:
Stages of market development
Global markets are at different stages of development which can be divided into five categories based on the criterion of gross national product per capita.
i) Preindustrial countries - incomes less than US$ 400 GNP per capita. Limited industrialisation, low literacy rates, high birth rates, heavy reliance on foreign aid, political instability. Parts of Sub-Saharan Africa. Little market potential.
ii) Less developed countries - per capita between US$ 401 and US$ 1,635. Early stages of industrialisation, growing domestic market, mature product markets, increasing competitive threat.
iii) Developing countries - per capita income between US$ 1,636 and US $ 5,500. Decrease in percentage of agricultural workers, industrialisation, rising wages, high literacy rates, lower wage rates than developed countries, formidable competitors.
iv) Industrialised countries - per capita income between US$ 5,501 and US$ 10,000. Moving towards post industrialisation, high standard of living.
v) Advanced countries - per capita income in excess of US$ 10,000. Post industrialisation, information processors, knowledge based, less machine based. Product opportunities are in new products, innovations and raw materials plus fresh foods.

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